{"id":2945,"date":"2026-09-07T13:31:25","date_gmt":"2026-09-07T12:31:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.laurensoff.com\/wordpress\/?p=2945"},"modified":"2026-09-15T10:58:03","modified_gmt":"2026-09-15T09:58:03","slug":"comprendre-la-geopolitique-aujourdhui-et-la-guerre-en-iran-et-ou-va-telle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.laurensoff.com\/wordpress\/comprendre-la-geopolitique-aujourdhui-et-la-guerre-en-iran-et-ou-va-telle\/","title":{"rendered":"Comprendre la G\u00e9opolitique aujourd&#8217;hui et la guerre en Iran et o\u00f9 va t&#8217;elle ?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Le dollar-roi n&#8217;est pas un privil\u00e8ge. C&#8217;est une facture de 1 500 milliards par an. Le Golfe vend l&#8217;\u00e9nergie, l&#8217;Asie de l&#8217;Est la transforme, l&#8217;Occident consomme \u2014 et tout se r\u00e8gle dans la m\u00eame monnaie, qui repart ensuite se placer aux \u00c9tats-Unis.<br \/>\nJiang Xueqin d\u00e9taille les deux autres co\u00fbts de cet arrangement : des dollars qui circulent hors du pays en quantit\u00e9 que personne ne sait mesurer, et un centre financier qui a pris la place de l&#8217;industrie. Il glisse au passage une phrase que la salle new-yorkaise n&#8217;attendait pas : prot\u00e9g\u00e9s par deux oc\u00e9ans, les \u00c9tats-Unis n&#8217;auraient pas besoin d&#8217;arm\u00e9e. Analyses et sp\u00e9culations de Jiang Xueqin \u2014 traduction \u00e9ducative ind\u00e9pendante. On traduit, on ne cautionne pas.<br \/>\n\u00c0 vous de juger.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"border: none; overflow: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/plugins\/video.php?height=476&amp;href=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.facebook.com%2Freel%2F950708300685820%2F&amp;show_text=false&amp;width=267&amp;t=0\" width=\"267\" height=\"476\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"0\">Le d\u00e9troit d&#8217;Ormuz est le point le plus n\u00e9vralgique du commerce mondial de p\u00e9trole. Situ\u00e9 entre l&#8217;Iran au nord et le Oman\/\u00c9mirats arabes unis au sud, ce bras de mer tr\u00e8s \u00e9troit contr\u00f4le l&#8217;acc\u00e8s au golfe Persique.<\/p>\n<div class=\"attachment-container search-images\"><\/div>\n<h3 data-path-to-node=\"3\">Pourquoi ce lieu est au c\u0153ur des tensions :<\/h3>\n<ul data-path-to-node=\"4\">\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"4,0,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"4,0,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Un goulot d&#8217;\u00e9tranglement strat\u00e9gique :<\/b> \u00c0 son point le plus \u00e9troit, le d\u00e9troit ne fait que 39 kilom\u00e8tres de large, avec des voies de navigation de seulement 3 kilom\u00e8tres de large dans chaque sens.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"4,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"4,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Le poumon \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique mondial :<\/b> Environ 20 % de la consommation mondiale de p\u00e9trole (et une part majeure du gaz naturel liqu\u00e9fi\u00e9) transite par ce passage.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"4,2,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"4,2,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Le moyen de pression iranien :<\/b> L&#8217;Iran contr\u00f4le la rive nord du d\u00e9troit. En cas de tensions g\u00e9opolitiques majeures (sanctions, conflits avec les \u00c9tats-Unis ou les pays du Golfe), T\u00e9h\u00e9ran menace r\u00e9guli\u00e8rement de bloquer ce passage ou d&#8217;y arraisonner des navires, ce qui ferait imm\u00e9diatement flamber les cours du p\u00e9trole \u00e0 l&#8217;\u00e9chelle mondiale.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"border: none; overflow: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/plugins\/video.php?height=476&amp;href=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.facebook.com%2Freel%2F1383998440578258%2F&amp;show_text=false&amp;width=267&amp;t=0\" width=\"267\" height=\"476\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le dollar-roi n&#8217;est pas un privil\u00e8ge. C&#8217;est une facture de 1 500 milliards par an&#8230;.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2946,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[3538,3537,3536],"tags":[3557,3558,3562,3574,3564,3566,3608,3569,3583,3546,3591,3568,3615,3604,3622,3572,3539,3587,3584,3585,3610,3553,3555,3582,3605,3543,3590,3541,3540,2478,3579,3576,3388,3548,3603,3563,3596,3542,3549,3573,3589,3577,3617,3600,1324,3544,3545,3556,3611,3614,3609,3594,984,3554,3560,489,495,1325,3552,3621,3565,3601,3567,3547,3613,3623,3606,3578,2483,3550,3551,1223,3570,3598,3571,3592,3595,3559,3580,3602,3620,3599,3581,3612,3588,3618,3586,3624,3597,3561,3619,3593,3575,3616,3607],"class_list":["post-2945","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dollar","category-guerre-en-iran","category-jiang-xueqin","tag-asie-de-lest","tag-atelier-du-monde","tag-banque-centrale","tag-banque-mondiale","tag-bce","tag-bourse","tag-cas-detude","tag-chaine-dapprovisionnement","tag-changement-climatique","tag-chap1","tag-cloud","tag-commerce-international","tag-commerce-mondial","tag-concours","tag-crise-energetique","tag-croissance-economique","tag-culture-generale","tag-cybersecurite","tag-decarbonation","tag-dependance-energetique","tag-detroit-dormuz","tag-dette","tag-deux-oceans","tag-developpement-durable","tag-dissertation","tag-dollar","tag-donnees-personnelles","tag-doublage","tag-education","tag-emirats-arabes-unis","tag-empreinte-carbone","tag-energie-renouvelable","tag-etats-unis","tag-eurodollar","tag-examen","tag-fed","tag-fiche-de-revision","tag-finance","tag-financiarisation","tag-fmi","tag-gafam","tag-gaz-naturel","tag-gaz-naturel-liquefie","tag-geographie","tag-geopolitique","tag-geostegie","tag-gm3","tag-golfe","tag-golfe-persique","tag-goulot-detranglement","tag-guerre-eschatologique","tag-guerre-informatique","tag-histoire","tag-inegalites","tag-inflation","tag-innovation","tag-intelligence-artificielle","tag-iran","tag-libre-navigation","tag-marche-petrolier","tag-marches-financiers","tag-methode","tag-mondialisation","tag-monnaie-de-reserve","tag-moyen-orient","tag-navigation-internationale","tag-notions-cles","tag-nucleaire","tag-oman","tag-pax-americana","tag-pentagone","tag-petrole","tag-politique-monetaire","tag-prepa","tag-recession","tag-regulation-numerique","tag-reseaux-sociaux","tag-reserve","tag-ressources-naturelles","tag-resume-de-cours","tag-sanctions-economiques","tag-sciences-po","tag-securite-energetique","tag-securite-maritime","tag-semi-conducteurs","tag-souverainete","tag-souverainete-numerique","tag-strategique","tag-synthese","tag-taux-dinteret","tag-tension-internationale","tag-transformation-digitale","tag-transition-energetique","tag-transport-denergie","tag-vocabulaire"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.laurensoff.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/images-9.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laurensoff.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2945","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laurensoff.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laurensoff.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laurensoff.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laurensoff.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2945"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.laurensoff.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2945\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2954,"href":"https:\/\/www.laurensoff.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2945\/revisions\/2954"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laurensoff.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2946"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laurensoff.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2945"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laurensoff.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2945"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laurensoff.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2945"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}